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Looking at the data behind prediction markets

Acetaminophen vs. ibuprofen

The route from Prussian military headquarters to Gary Gygax’s basement

Language birth

Factory Logic

Seeing Like a Sedan

Rethinking High-School Science Fairs

Sins of the Children (Adrian Tchaikovsky)

Ideas aren't getting harder to find

The Message in the Medium

Is the Internet Making Culture Worse?

Scapegoating the Algorithm

Why are there so many rationalist cults?

Yes in My Bamako Yard

The Origin of the Research University

Brain Freeze

The Universal Tech Tree

Traffic Fatalities Are a Choice

Reports of the death of California High-Speed Rail have been greatly exaggerated

We can, must, and will simulate nematode brains

The Unbearable Loudness of Chewing

A Defense of Weird Research

Chimes at Midnight (2024)

The Transistor Cliff (2023)

The Making of Community Notes (2024)

The Depths of Wikipedians

The Myth of the Loneliness Epidemic

The death and life of prediction markets at Google

How long til we're all on Ozempic?

The missing middle: firms in developing countries

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